Congo

1 - 0

South Sudan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Sudan win with a probability of 37.78%. A win for Congo had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Sudan win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Congo win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Congo would win this match.