MX23RW : Monday, December 23 08:01:50| >> :600:1481312:1481312:
Gambia national football team
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 4, 2022 at 5pm UK
Stade Lat Dior (Thiès)
South Sudan national football team

Gambia
1 - 0
South Sudan

Jallow (45+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Emmanuel Kundu Gama (45'), Malish Manase (90+1'), Maker Manyang Mabok (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Gambia and South Sudan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Six:
Last Game: Congo 1-0 Gambia
Wednesday, June 8 at 5pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Mali vs. Gambia
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Last Game: South Sudan 1-3 Mali
Thursday, June 9 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying
Next Game: Congo vs. South Sudan
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

We said: Gambia 1-0 South Sudan

The teams come into this one on a decent run of results and both will feel capable of claiming all three points. We anticipate a keenly-contested affair with the hosts managing to secure a narrow triumph come the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gambia win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for South Sudan had a probability of 13.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gambia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.2%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a South Sudan win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gambia in this match.

Result
GambiaDrawSouth Sudan
64.5% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08) 21.76% (0.0030000000000001 0) 13.73% (0.075000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 42.92% (0.175 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.19% (0.13 0.13)52.81% (-0.131 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.56% (0.111 0.11)74.43% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Gambia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (0.016999999999996 0.02)15.73% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.17% (0.033000000000001 0.03)44.83% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
South Sudan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.94% (0.196 0.2)49.06% (-0.198 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16% (0.139 0.14)84% (-0.13900000000001 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Gambia 64.5%
    South Sudan 13.73%
    Draw 21.76%
GambiaDrawSouth Sudan
1-0 @ 14.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-0 @ 13.2% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.4% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 8.14% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 5.8% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.76% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.016 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
4-2 @ 0.95% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 64.5%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.72% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.35% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.76%
0-1 @ 5.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 3.62% (0.024 0.02)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 13.73%

How you voted: Gambia vs South Sudan

Gambia
70.8%
Draw
16.7%
South Sudan
12.5%
24
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool16123137162139
2Chelsea17105237191835
3Arsenal1796234161833
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest179442319431
5Bournemouth178452721628
6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle177552721626
9Fulham176742422225
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1772839251423
12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1733112740-1312
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!