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Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League | Gameweek 20
Mar 26, 2022 at 6.05am UK
Wellington Regional Stadium, Wellington
Perth Glory

Wellington
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Waine (37'), Pennington (90+7')
Fenton (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fitzgerald (49')
Malik (47'), Timmins (64')
Malik (53')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Wellington Phoenix and Perth Glory.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 45.65%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 0-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wellington Phoenix would win this match.

Result
Wellington PhoenixDrawPerth Glory
45.65%25.25%29.1%
Both teams to score 54.31%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51%49%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.92%71.08%
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.53%21.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.49%54.51%
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17%30.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89%67.11%
Score Analysis
    Wellington Phoenix 45.64%
    Perth Glory 29.1%
    Draw 25.25%
Wellington PhoenixDrawPerth Glory
1-0 @ 10.18%
2-1 @ 9.22%
2-0 @ 7.84%
3-1 @ 4.73%
3-0 @ 4.02%
3-2 @ 2.78%
4-1 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.55%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 45.64%
1-1 @ 11.98%
0-0 @ 6.62%
2-2 @ 5.42%
3-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.25%
0-1 @ 7.79%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 4.58%
1-3 @ 2.77%
2-3 @ 2.13%
0-3 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 29.1%

Head to Head
May 30, 2021 4.35am
Wellington
2-2
Perth Glory
Hemed (25'), Sotirio (80')
Fenton (78'), Devlin (90+5')
Fornaroli (61'), Timmins (74')
Lachman (52'), Timmins (65'), Aspropotamitis (82'), Fornaroli (89'), Castro (90+1')
Apr 18, 2021 11.15am
Perth Glory
1-3
Wellington
Chianese (58')
Kato Geria (77')
Waine (56'), Fenton (66'), Sotirio (75')
Taylor (57'), Lewis (82')
Mar 7, 2021 5.05am
Wellington
3-0
Perth Glory
Piscopo (30'), Ball (35'), Waine (59')

Castro (37'), Stynes (54')
Aug 22, 2020 8am
Wellington
0-1
Perth Glory

Devlin (73')
Chianese (18')
Mrcela (77'), Reddy (90'), Juande (90+1')
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