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Adelaide United
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Western United
Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 13
Feb 27, 2021 at 8.10am UK
Docklands Stadium
Western United

Victory
3 - 4
Western Utd

McManaman (21'), Butterfield (62'), Gestede (82')
Kruse (27'), Roux (45'), Brimmer (70')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sanchez (42', 90+5'), Berisha (53', 58')
Sanchez (12'), Imai (31'), Uskok (50'), Vujica (72'), Milanovic (85'), Skotadis (90+4')
Uskok (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
40.39%25.56%34.04%
Both teams to score 55.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.44%48.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32%70.67%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.21%23.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.05%57.95%
Western United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67%27.33%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22%62.78%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 40.39%
    Western United 34.04%
    Draw 25.57%
Melbourne VictoryDrawWestern United
1-0 @ 9.34%
2-1 @ 8.7%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 4.16%
3-0 @ 3.21%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-1 @ 1.49%
4-0 @ 1.15%
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 40.39%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.5%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.57%
0-1 @ 8.43%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 3.4%
2-3 @ 2.44%
0-3 @ 2.37%
1-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34.04%

How you voted: Victory vs Western Utd

Melbourne Victory
29.4%
Draw
11.8%
Western United
58.8%
17
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 6.05am
Gameweek 7
Western Utd
0-0
Victory
Calver (4'), Vujica (27'), Berisha (40'), Pain (45+4'), Uskok (51')
Broxham (54'), Traore (90+3')
> Preview
Jul 25, 2020 10.35am
Gameweek 28
Victory
1-2
Western Utd
Roux (83')
Anderson (14'), Basha (57')
Uskok (38'), Burgess (57')
Diamanti (65'), Imai (89')
Dec 8, 2019 5am
Gameweek 9
Western Utd
3-1
Victory
Berisha (17', 43'), Kone (24')
Diamanti (45'), Gulum (63'), Aspropotamitis (75'), Skotadis (84'), Hamill (85')
Nabbout (14')
Traore (29'), Donachie (53')
Nov 2, 2019 8.30am
Gameweek 4
Victory
2-3
Western Utd
Toivonen (6'), Dobras (7')
Diamanti (16'), Donachie (29' og.), McDonald (51')
Pain (11'), Risdon (75'), Jertec (82'), Berisha (89')
rhs 2.0
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