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Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Mar 6, 2021 at 8.10am UK
Marvel Stadium
Melbourne City

Victory
0 - 6
Melbourne City


McManaman (14'), Lawrie-Lattanzio (63'), Broxham (66')
FT(HT: 0-1)
MacLaren (34'), Berenguer (52'), Griffiths (56'), Metcalfe (75', 77'), Colakovski (90+3')
Griffiths (13'), Berenguer (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Melbourne City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 47.52%. A win for Melbourne Victory had a probability of 29.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.13%). The likeliest Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-6 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
29.03%23.46%47.52%
Both teams to score 60.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.97%41.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.58%63.42%
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.17%26.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.87%62.13%
Melbourne City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.49%17.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.99%48.01%
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 29.03%
    Melbourne City 47.52%
    Draw 23.45%
Melbourne VictoryDrawMelbourne City
2-1 @ 7.08%
1-0 @ 6.18%
2-0 @ 4.07%
3-1 @ 3.11%
3-2 @ 2.71%
3-0 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 29.03%
1-1 @ 10.76%
2-2 @ 6.17%
0-0 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.45%
1-2 @ 9.38%
0-1 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 7.13%
1-3 @ 5.45%
0-3 @ 4.14%
2-3 @ 3.59%
1-4 @ 2.38%
0-4 @ 1.81%
2-4 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.9%
Total : 47.52%

How you voted: Victory vs Melbourne City

Melbourne Victory
33.3%
Draw
22.2%
Melbourne City
44.4%
18
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2021 8am
Gameweek 12
Victory
P-P
Melbourne City
Feb 7, 2020 8.30am
Gameweek 18
Melbourne City
2-1
Victory
Berenguer (8'), MacLaren (71')
Atkinson (45'), Jamieson (45'), Berenguer (66')
Toivonen (78')
Donachie (56')
Dec 21, 2019 6am
Gameweek 11
Melbourne City
1-2
Victory
Delbridge (56')
Luna (54')
Toivonen (15', 41')
Nabbout (50'), Lesiotis (58'), Kamsoba (67'), Toivonen (92')
Oct 12, 2019 9.30am
Gameweek 1
Victory
0-0
Melbourne City
Toivonen (95')
Brillante (23'), Jamieson (36'), Delbridge (96')
Feb 23, 2019 8.50am
Gameweek 20
Victory
1-1
Melbourne City
Barbarouses (50')
Niedermeier (13'), Honda (21'), Baena (42'), Brown (81'), Thomas (89')
Niedermeier (15')
MacLaren (16' pen.)
Brattan (42'), De Laet (46'), Berenguer (70'), Schenkeveld (92')
rhs 2.0
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