MX23RW : Monday, December 23 01:16:19| >> :60:3341:3341:
Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs | First Round | 2nd Leg
May 27, 2023 at 7pm UK
De Geusselt
NAC Breda

MVV
1 - 4
NAC Breda

Rocha (68')
Zeegers (56'), van Bommel (74')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Mar Omarsson (20'), Agougil (29'), Banzuzi (38'), Herrmann (90+3')
Garcia McNulty (57'), Staring (70')
Kortsmit (83')
Coverage of the Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs First Round clash between MVV Maastricht and NAC Breda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 MVV
Tuesday, May 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs
Last Game: NAC Breda 1-0 MVV
Tuesday, May 23 at 8pm in Eredivisie Promotion Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 40.91%. A win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 35.72% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.75%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest MVV Maastricht win was 2-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that NAC Breda would win this match.

Result
MVV MaastrichtDrawNAC Breda
35.72% (0.101 0.1) 23.37% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04) 40.91% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Both teams to score 63.68% (0.199 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.08% (0.254 0.25)37.92% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.83% (0.269 0.27)60.17% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
MVV Maastricht Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.58% (0.169 0.17)21.42% (-0.162 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.58% (0.255 0.25)54.42% (-0.25 -0.25)
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.03% (0.085000000000008 0.09)18.97% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.5% (0.13800000000001 0.14)50.5% (-0.132 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    MVV Maastricht 35.72%
    NAC Breda 40.91%
    Draw 23.36%
MVV MaastrichtDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 8.02% (0.0040000000000013 0)
1-0 @ 6.26% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-0 @ 4.82% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (0.023 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.42% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.48% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.017 0.02)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 35.72%
1-1 @ 10.4% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.67% (0.021 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.06% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.9% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.36%
1-2 @ 8.65% (-0.014999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 5.61% (-0.037999999999999 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-3 @ 3.69% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.11% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.99% (0.006 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.013 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.29% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 40.91%

Head to Head
May 23, 2023 8pm
First Round 1st Leg
NAC Breda
1-0
MVV
Velanas (40' pen.)
Garcia McNulty (11'), Garbett (80')

Van Helden (35')
Mar 10, 2023 7pm
gameweek 28
NAC Breda
4-1
MVV
Mar Omarsson (21', 45', 86'), Van der Sande (43')
Besselink (33')
Van Bommel (34')
Aug 15, 2022 7pm
gameweek 2
MVV
3-1
NAC Breda
Kostons (9'), Remans (12' pen.), Van Bommel (66')
Kostons (45'), Zeegers (47')
Van der Sande (71')
Velthuis (11'), Plat (30')
Mar 4, 2022 7pm
gameweek 29
MVV
1-2
NAC Breda
Kastrati (80')
Bannis (32'), Velanas (69')
Rutten (39'), de Rooij (89'), Banzuzi (90+6')
Oct 22, 2021 7.10pm
gameweek 12
NAC Breda
3-0
MVV
Seuntjens (13'), Kotzebue (17'), Van Schuppen (69')

Essers (40')
rhs 2.0
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