World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 26, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Chonburi Stadium (Chonburi)

Thailand
0 - 3
South Korea

Hemviboon (59'), Mickelson (76')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Jae-sung (19'), Heung-min (54'), Park (82')
Kyu-Sung (41')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Thailand and South Korea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Thailand

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: South Korea 1-1 Thailand
Thursday, March 21 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

South Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: South Korea 1-1 Thailand
Thursday, March 21 at 11am in World Cup Qualifying - Asia

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

We said: Thailand 1-3 South Korea

Thailand upset the odds to come away with a hard-fought point last time out, but Tuesday's hosts are expected to be in for another tough test here. We are backing South Korea to come out on top in what should be a largely one-sided affair. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 53.48%. A win for Thailand had a probability of 23.67% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.3%) and 0-2 (8.53%). The likeliest Thailand win was 2-1 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that South Korea would win this match.

Result
Thailand	Draw	South Korea
23.67% ( -0.3)	22.85% ( -0.07)	53.48% ( 0.38)

Both teams to score 57.36% (

-0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.3% (

0.01)

42.7% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.9% (

0.01)

65.1% (

-0.01)

Thailand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.25% (

-0.25)

31.75% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.82% (

-0.29)

68.18% (

0.29)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.05% (

0.13)

15.95% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.77% (

0.25)

45.22% (

-0.24)

Score Analysis

Thailand 23.67%

South Korea 53.48%

Draw 22.84%

Thailand	Draw	South Korea
2-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.81% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 23.67%	1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.62% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.84%	1-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 5.22% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.48% Total : 53.48%