World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Mar 21, 2024 at 11am UK

Seoul World Cup Stadium

South Korea
1 - 1
Thailand

Heung-min (42')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mueanta (61')
Thongsong (11')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between South Korea and Thailand, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

South Korea

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Jordan 2-0 South Korea
Tuesday, February 6 at 3pm in Asian Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Bahrain	3	0	6
2	South Korea	3	2	5
3	Jordan	3	3	4
4	Malaysia	3	-5	1

Thailand

All competitions

World Cup Qualifying

Last Game: Uzbekistan 2-1 Thailand
Tuesday, January 30 at 11.30am in Asian Cup

Current Group F Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Saudi Arabia	3	3	7
2	Thailand	3	2	5
3	Oman	3	-1	2
4	Kyrgyzstan	3	-4	1

We said: South Korea 3-0 Thailand

Even with several notable omissions from their squad, South Korea still boast plenty of quality and should have more than enough to see Thailand off on home turf. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a South Korea win with a probability of 75.69%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Thailand had a probability of 9.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a South Korea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.88%), while for a Thailand win it was 1-2 (2.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
South Korea	Draw	Thailand
75.69% ( 0.61)	14.83% ( -0.18)	9.48% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 52.37% (

-1.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.12% (

-0.53)

32.88% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.42% (

-0.62)

54.58% (

0.62)

South Korea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.77%

7.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.77% (

26.24% (

-0)

Thailand Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.45% (

-1.23)

43.55% (

1.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.25% (

-1.04)

79.75% (

1.04)

Score Analysis

South Korea 75.68%

Thailand 9.48%

Draw 14.83%

South Korea	Draw	Thailand
2-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.3) 3-0 @ 9.51% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 6.25% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.09) 5-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.09) 6-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.04) 6-1 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 75.68%	1-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 3.15% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.14% Total : 14.83%	1-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.09% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.87% Total : 9.48%