Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 63.57%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Gibraltar had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.01%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.34%), while for a Gibraltar win it was 0-1 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.