Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norway win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 26.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Norway win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Norway would win this match.
