World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage

Oct 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Latvia
1 - 2
Turkey

Demiral (70' og.)
Jaunzems (3'), Cigaņiks (50'), Tarasovs (87'), Ozols (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dursun (76'), Yilmaz (90+9' pen.)
Yilmaz (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Latvia and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Turkey win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Turkey win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.07%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Latvia win it was 1-0 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Turkey would win this match.

Result
Latvia	Draw	Turkey
22.25%	25.08%	52.67%

Both teams to score 48.61%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.55%

53.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.02%

74.98%

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.98%

39.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.26%

75.74%

Turkey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.71%

20.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.35%

52.65%

Score Analysis

Latvia 22.25%

Turkey 52.66%

Draw 25.07%

Latvia	Draw	Turkey
1-0 @ 7.45% 2-1 @ 5.59% 2-0 @ 3.51% 3-1 @ 1.75% 3-2 @ 1.4% 3-0 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.45% Total : 22.25%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 7.92% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.82% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 12.62% 0-2 @ 10.07% 1-2 @ 9.48% 0-3 @ 5.36% 1-3 @ 5.04% 2-3 @ 2.37% 0-4 @ 2.14% 1-4 @ 2.01% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.63% Total : 52.66%