Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montenegro win with a probability of 46.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 26.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montenegro win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.97%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.62%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
