World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Third Round

Sep 2, 2021 at 7pm UK

Australia
3 - 0
China

Mabil (24'), Boyle (26'), Duke (70')
Hrustic (81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Shenchao (67'), Hongbo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Australia and China, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for China had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (6.21%). The likeliest China win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
Australia	Draw	China
41.2%	24.28%	34.52%

Both teams to score 60%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.4%

42.6%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.99%

65%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.19%

20.81%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.52%

53.48%

China Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.78%

24.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.43%

58.57%

Score Analysis

Australia 41.2%

China 34.52%

Draw 24.28%

Australia	Draw	China
2-1 @ 8.81% 1-0 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 6.21% 3-1 @ 4.61% 3-2 @ 3.27% 3-0 @ 3.25% 4-1 @ 1.81% 4-2 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.78% Total : 41.2%	1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 5.04% 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.28%	1-2 @ 7.95% 0-1 @ 7.15% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.95% 0-3 @ 2.4% 1-4 @ 1.33% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.52%