World Cup

World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round

Jun 11, 2021 at 5pm UK

Nepal
0 - 3
Australia

Chand (45')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Leckie (6'), Karacic (38'), Boyle (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's World Cup Qualifying - Asia clash between Nepal and Australia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Nepal had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.43%) and 0-2 (6.1%). The likeliest Nepal win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.

Result
Nepal	Draw	Australia
30.44%	22.24%	47.33%

Both teams to score 65.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.71%

34.29%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.81%

56.19%

Nepal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42%

22.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.81%

56.19%

Australia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.98%

15.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.51%

43.5%

Score Analysis

Nepal 30.44%

Australia 47.33%

Draw 22.24%

Nepal	Draw	Australia
2-1 @ 7.12% 1-0 @ 5.05% 2-0 @ 3.76% 3-1 @ 3.53% 3-2 @ 3.35% 3-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.31% 4-2 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.22% Total : 30.44%	1-1 @ 9.57% 2-2 @ 6.75% 0-0 @ 3.39% 3-3 @ 2.12% Other @ 0.42% Total : 22.24%	1-2 @ 9.07% 0-1 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 6.1% 1-3 @ 5.73% 2-3 @ 4.26% 0-3 @ 3.85% 1-4 @ 2.72% 2-4 @ 2.02% 0-4 @ 1.83% 1-5 @ 1.03% 3-4 @ 1% Other @ 3.29% Total : 47.33%