Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 12

Nov 26, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Parque Federico Omar Saroldi

River Plate
1 - 0
La Luz

Barros (83')
Gargano (25'), Formento (27'), Chopitea (30'), Viera (72'), Olivera (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Hernandez (15'), Viera (60'), Barreto (66'), Castillo (85'), Gonzalez (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between River Plate and La Luz.

Form, Standings, Stats

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: Wanderers 2-1 River Plate
Monday, November 20 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

La Luz

All competitions

Last Game: Maldonado 1-0 La Luz
Sunday, November 19 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Luz win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for River Plate had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a La Luz win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest River Plate win was 1-0 (11.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
River Plate	Draw	La Luz
34.65% ( 0.56)	28.29% ( 0.21)	37.05% ( -0.77)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

-0.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.62% (

-0.72)

59.38% (

0.72)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.24% (

-0.56)

79.76% (

0.56)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.7% (

0.01)

32.3% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.19% (

0.01)

68.8% (

-0)

La Luz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.23% (

-0.83)

30.77% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.96% (

-0.99)

67.04% (

0.99)

Score Analysis

River Plate 34.65%

La Luz 37.04%

Draw 28.29%

River Plate	Draw	La Luz
1-0 @ 11.23% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 2.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.65%	1-1 @ 13.23% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.29%	0-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.22% Total : 37.04%