Penarol
1 - 2
Defensor

Torres (59')
Gonzalez (61'), Gargano (63')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cardacio (71'), Chavez (85')
Rojo (45'), Mallo Blanco (63'), Poggi (73'), Rodriguez (82'), Chavez (85')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and Defensor Sporting.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.05%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 25.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	Defensor Sporting
48.05%	26.76%	25.19%

Both teams to score 46.9%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.76%

57.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.92%

78.08%

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.13%

23.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.94%

58.06%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.61%

38.39%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.85%

75.15%

Score Analysis

Penarol 48.05%

Defensor Sporting 25.19%

Draw 26.75%

Penarol	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 13.12% 2-0 @ 9.4% 2-1 @ 9% 3-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 2.06% 4-0 @ 1.61% 4-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.53% Total : 48.05%	1-1 @ 12.56% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.72% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 8.77% 1-2 @ 6.02% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.38% 0-3 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.57% Total : 25.19%