DefensorDefensor Sporting

2-1

PenarolPenarol

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for had a probability of 35.42% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.84%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%).