Nacional
3 - 0
Defensor

Bergessio (38'), Cougo (62'), Trasante (68')
Laborda (43'), Lores (48'), Martinez (51')
Laborda (70')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Rabino (9'), Poggi (15'), Navarro (70')
Mendez (28')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Defensor Sporting.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 46.14%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 26.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.21%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Defensor Sporting win it was 0-1 (9.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
Nacional	Draw	Defensor Sporting
46.14%	27.69%	26.17%

Both teams to score 45.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.11%

59.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.85%

80.15%

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.02%

25.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39%

60.99%

Defensor Sporting Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.99%

39.01%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.27%

75.73%

Score Analysis

Nacional 46.13%

Defensor Sporting 26.17%

Draw 27.68%

Nacional	Draw	Defensor Sporting
1-0 @ 13.65% 2-0 @ 9.21% 2-1 @ 8.67% 3-0 @ 4.14% 3-1 @ 3.89% 3-2 @ 1.83% 4-0 @ 1.39% 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.04% Total : 46.13%	1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 10.13% 2-2 @ 4.08% Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.68%	0-1 @ 9.54% 1-2 @ 6.05% 0-2 @ 4.49% 1-3 @ 1.9% 0-3 @ 1.41% 2-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.49% Total : 26.17%