Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central
Nacional2 - 0Alianza Lima
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Nacional and Alianza Lima.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 27.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nacional | Draw | Alianza Lima |
| 44.92% | 27.21% | 27.87% |
| Both teams to score 47.61% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
