Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Sep 16, 2020 at 11.15pm UK
Estudiantes3 - 2Alianza Lima
Rivas (64'), Mena (82'), Rivas (90+7' pen.)
Rivas (17'), Rivas (73'), Manriquez (81'), Rivas (90+4')
Rivas (17'), Rivas (73'), Manriquez (81'), Rivas (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gomez (51' pen.), Arroe (54')
Salazar (14'), Zuniga (85'), Quijada (90+6')
Salazar (14'), Zuniga (85'), Quijada (90+6')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Estudiantes Merida and Alianza Lima.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estudiantes Merida win with a probability of 49.7%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estudiantes Merida win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.35%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for an Alianza Lima win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Estudiantes Merida would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estudiantes Merida | Draw | Alianza Lima |
| 49.7% | 25.66% | 24.64% |
| Both teams to score 49.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
