Alianza Lima
0 - 2
Racing

Cruzado (7'), Ascues (66'), Rosell (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nahuel Banega (87'), Garre (90')
Reniero (23')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Group Stage clash between Alianza Lima and Racing Club.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing Club win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Alianza Lima had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Racing Club win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.97%) and 0-2 (8.73%). The likeliest Alianza Lima win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing Club would win this match.

Result
Alianza Lima	Draw	Racing Club
27.24%	26.67%	46.08%

Both teams to score 48.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.33%

55.67%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.18%

76.82%

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.22%

35.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.44%

72.55%

Racing Club Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.88%

24.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.58%

58.42%

Score Analysis

Alianza Lima 27.24%

Racing Club 46.08%

Draw 26.67%

Alianza Lima	Draw	Racing Club
1-0 @ 8.87% 2-1 @ 6.48% 2-0 @ 4.56% 3-1 @ 2.22% 3-2 @ 1.58% 3-0 @ 1.56% Other @ 1.97% Total : 27.24%	1-1 @ 12.61% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.67%	0-1 @ 12.27% 1-2 @ 8.97% 0-2 @ 8.73% 1-3 @ 4.25% 0-3 @ 4.14% 2-3 @ 2.19% 1-4 @ 1.51% 0-4 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.08%