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Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jul 10, 2022 at 12am UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
3 - 1
Plaza Colonia

Coelho (38'), Trezza (40'), Zabala (83')
Rodriguez (16'), Rochet (32'), Carballo (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Quintana (20' pen.)
Dibble (52'), Fernandez (74'), Quintana (85')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Plaza Colonia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

Last Six:
Last Game: Union 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, July 5 at 11.15pm in Copa Sudamericana

Plaza Colonia

Last Six:
Last Game: Plaza Colonia 3-0 Cerrito
Sunday, June 26 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 59.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.86%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
59.17% (-0.167 -0.17) 24.75% (0.11 0.11) 16.08% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 40.18% (-0.157 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.49% (-0.278 -0.28)59.5% (0.28 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.14% (-0.213 -0.21)79.86% (0.215 0.22)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.9% (-0.173 -0.17)20.09% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.66% (-0.28 -0.28)52.33% (0.282 0.28)
Plaza Colonia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.28% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)49.71% (0.089000000000006 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.54% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)84.46% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 59.15%
    Plaza Colonia 16.08%
    Draw 24.75%
NacionalDrawPlaza Colonia
1-0 @ 16.02% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 12.86%
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.88% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.81% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.76% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.93% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 59.15%
1-1 @ 11.2% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 9.99% (0.105 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.14% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 24.75%
0-1 @ 6.98% (0.056 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.92%
0-2 @ 2.44% (0.013 0.01)
1-3 @ 0.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 16.08%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2022 10.30pm
Nacional
1-0
Plaza Colonia
Zabala (84')
Zunino (43'), Candido (52'), Zabala (85'), Fagundez (90+6')

Heredia (5'), Kidd (45'), Fernandez (80'), Ayala (87')
Oct 3, 2021 7.30pm
Nacional
2-1
Plaza Colonia
Candido (10'), Ramirez (90+1')
Rodriguez (32'), Polenta (50'), D'Alessandro (76'), Bergessio (82')
Lopez (51')
Dibble (45+1'), Olivera (61'), Fernandez (71'), Camargo (73'), Mele (76'), Umeres (81'), Suhr (85'), Leonai (88'), Zeballos (90+5')
Jun 5, 2021 7pm
Plaza Colonia
1-2
Nacional
Dibble (34')
Cruz Mascia (44'), Risso (58'), Leonai (69'), Quintana (70'), Dibble (71')
Leonai (79')
Trezza (46'), Bergessio (73' pen.)
Corujo (45+1'), Garcia (83'), Bergessio (90+3')
Feb 14, 2021 12am
Nacional
1-1
Plaza Colonia
Bergessio (67')
Mendez (14'), Ocampo (32'), Lores (80'), Martinez (86'), Cartagena (90')
Cruz Mascia (68')
Cruz Mascia (43'), Suhr (82'), Fernandez (85')
Aug 23, 2020 7pm
Plaza Colonia
0-0
Nacional

Calleros (38'), Dibble (65')

Rodriguez (20'), Yacob (23'), Laborda (66')
Bergessio (26'), Suarez (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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19-24
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1NacionalNacional13102134102432
2PenarolPenarol1310212432132
3Boston RiverBoston River138231710726
4DanubioDanubio13661134924
5Racing de MontevideoRacing13562129321
6Defensor SportingDefensor135441714319
7Miramar Misiones134631113-218
8Cerro Largo134451010016
9River PlateRiver Plate134361418-415
10Rampla JuniorsRampla134361117-615
11FenixFenix134271223-1114
12Montevideo WanderersWanderers133461219-713
13LiverpoolLiverpool132651115-412
14CerroCerro13265816-812
15ProgresoProgreso13157717-108
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado130310722-153
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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