Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 8

Nov 4, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
1 - 2
Torque

S. (52')
Viera (13'), Pereira (33'), Brasil (45+1'), Correa (65'), Lima (77'), Rabino (90+5')
Correa (90+7')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Siri (4'), Aguero (90+9')
Aguero (29'), Guerrero (47'), Villa (83'), Catarozzi (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Montevideo City Torque.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions

Last Game: Defensor 2-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, October 21 at 11pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Montevideo City Torque

All competitions

Last Game: Torque 2-3 Liverpool
Monday, October 23 at 9pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montevideo City Torque win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Montevideo City Torque win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.11%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (10.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Montevideo City Torque would win this match.

Result
Cerro Largo	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
32.91% ( 0.11)	27.99% ( -0.14)	39.1% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.48% (

0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.51% (

0.53)

58.49% (

-0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.92% (

0.41)

79.08% (

-0.41)

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.97% (

0.35)

33.03% (

-0.35)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.38% (

0.39)

69.61% (

-0.39)

Montevideo City Torque Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.89% (

0.28)

29.11% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.97% (

0.34)

65.03% (

-0.34)

Score Analysis

Cerro Largo 32.91%

Montevideo City Torque 39.09%

Draw 27.99%

Cerro Largo	Draw	Montevideo City Torque
1-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 7.28% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.66% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.91%	1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 9.61% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.99%	0-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.15) 1-2 @ 8.11% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.32% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 39.09%