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Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2
Aug 26, 2023 at 10pm UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla

Cerro Largo
2 - 2
Nacional

Gianoli (18'), Silveira (90')
Viera (14'), Brasil (29'), Santilli (76'), Ferrares (90+6'), Galletto (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Ramirez (27'), Zabala (86')
Galeano (38'), Fagundez (79')
Fagundez (90+5')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Nacional.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Cerro Largo
Saturday, August 19 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Liverpool 0-0 Nacional
Sunday, August 20 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.59%) and 1-2 (8.51%). The likeliest Cerro Largo win was 1-0 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
28.23% (-0.361 -0.36) 27.92% (0.0040000000000013 0) 43.85% (0.354 0.35)
Both teams to score 45.87% (-0.213 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.37% (-0.17 -0.17)59.63% (0.168 0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.04% (-0.131 -0.13)79.96% (0.129 0.13)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.87% (-0.384 -0.38)37.13% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.08% (-0.381 -0.38)73.91% (0.379 0.38)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.97% (0.10599999999999 0.11)27.03% (-0.106 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.61% (0.14 0.14)62.39% (-0.143 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 28.23%
    Nacional 43.84%
    Draw 27.9%
Cerro LargoDrawNacional
1-0 @ 9.94% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-1 @ 6.44% (-0.074 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.93% (-0.071 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.13% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.63% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.39% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 28.23%
1-1 @ 13% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.03% (0.058 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.22% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 27.9%
0-1 @ 13.12% (0.12 0.12)
0-2 @ 8.59% (0.106 0.11)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.75% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 3.71% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.023 0.02)
1-4 @ 1.21% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 43.84%

Head to Head
Jul 22, 2023 11.30pm
Gameweek 7
Nacional
1-0
Cerro Largo
Fagundez (34')
Ramirez (14'), Morales (62'), Lozano (82')

Gianoli (14'), Galletto (45+8'), Viera (61'), Brasil (90')
Feb 10, 2023 11pm
Sep 25, 2022 10pm
Gameweek 10
Nacional
1-1
Cerro Largo
Gigliotti (54' pen.)
Beltran (69')
Jul 17, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro Largo
0-0
Nacional
Alvarez (41'), Max (51'), Morales (75'), Bentaberry (81')
Marichal (70'), Rodriguez (87')
Apr 23, 2022 12am
Gameweek 10
Cerro Largo
0-2
Nacional
Martinez (19'), Max (60'), Correa (90')
Castro (38'), Marichal (53'), Lozano (85'), Fagundez (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Clausura
1NacionalNacional129212982129
2PenarolPenarol129212231929
3Boston RiverBoston River128131710725
4DanubioDanubio12651134923
5Racing de MontevideoRacing12552129320
6Defensor SportingDefensor125431712519
7Miramar Misiones12453911-217
8Rampla JuniorsRampla124351114-315
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers123451215-313
10Cerro Largo12345610-413
11FenixFenix124171021-1113
12River PlateRiver Plate123361118-712
13LiverpoolLiverpool12255913-411
14CerroCerro12255816-811
15ProgresoProgreso12147515-107
16Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado12039517-123
Group 1
1PenarolPenarol7421105514
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers7412119213
3Defensor SportingDefensor732275211
4FenixFenix7313109110
5River PlateRiver Plate722389-18
6ProgresoProgreso7223811-38
7Racing de MontevideoRacing7133810-26
8Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado713359-46
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011


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