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Pacos de Ferreira logo
Taca de Portugal | Third Round
Oct 19, 2024 at 4.15pm UK
Estadio da Capital do Movel
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Pacos de Ferreira
1 - 3
Guimaraes

Fonte (44')
Paulo (33'), Damasceno dos Santos (80'), Nunes Carvalho Junior (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gaspar (3'), Samu (51')
Oliveira (33'), Damasceno dos Santos (53'), Handel (54')
Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Third Round clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 2-1 Os Limianos
Saturday, August 3 at 10.30am in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Guimaraes 2-2 Boavista
Sunday, October 6 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 52.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 23.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.68%) and 0-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 1-0 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Pacos de FerreiraDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
23.18% (1.454 1.45) 24.16% (0.428 0.43) 52.66% (-1.873 -1.87)
Both teams to score 52.48% (0.514 0.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (-0.227 -0.23)48.89% (0.237 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.01% (-0.206 -0.21)70.99% (0.215 0.22)
Pacos de Ferreira Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.41% (1.247 1.25)35.59% (-1.236 -1.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.64% (1.264 1.26)72.36% (-1.255 -1.26)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.48% (-0.788 -0.79)18.52% (0.797 0.8)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.24% (-1.352 -1.35)49.76% (1.362 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Pacos de Ferreira 23.18%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 52.66%
    Draw 24.15%
Pacos de FerreiraDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 6.81% (0.289 0.29)
2-1 @ 5.93% (0.297 0.3)
2-0 @ 3.52% (0.261 0.26)
3-1 @ 2.04% (0.167 0.17)
3-2 @ 1.72% (0.099 0.1)
3-0 @ 1.21% (0.127 0.13)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 23.18%
1-1 @ 11.48% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 6.59% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 5% (0.127 0.13)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 11.11% (-0.18 -0.18)
1-2 @ 9.68% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 9.37% (-0.399 -0.4)
1-3 @ 5.44% (-0.186 -0.19)
0-3 @ 5.27% (-0.368 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.81%
1-4 @ 2.29% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-4 @ 2.22% (-0.217 -0.22)
2-4 @ 1.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 52.66%

Head to Head
Apr 1, 2023 6pm
Oct 8, 2022 8.30pm
Apr 15, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Guimaraes
4-0
Pacos de Ferreira
Silva (6' pen.), Duarte (45', 67'), Lameiras (86' pen.)

Antunes (33'), Carlos (38'), Butzke (46'), Ferreira (68')
Carlos (64')
Dec 4, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 13
Pacos de Ferreira
1-2
Guimaraes
Denilson (34')
de Brito Gonzaga (40'), Pedro (88')
Estupinan (70'), Duarte (90')
Ferreira (4'), Duarte (40'), Borevkovic (88'), Varela (90+4')
Feb 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Pacos de Ferreira
2-1
Guimaraes
Pedro (33'), Ferreira (62')
Estupinan (23')
Sacko (70'), Pepelu (82')
rhs 2.0
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