Hatayspor has a perfect home record this season and given Kayserispor's poor away record, there are not many signs that could point to an end to this streak for either side.
The hosts have scored in their last three home games, so it is unlikely that they will go scoreless on Friday. However, with Thiam in top form, Kayserispor have a big weapon in hand that will pose Hatayspor major problems defensively.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 37.59%. A win for Hatayspor had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Hatayspor win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.
0.02) 
-0.03) 
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