Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 39.4%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.22%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (10.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.