Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 64.07%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 15.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a Crotone win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
