Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 67.11%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Vicenza had a probability of 13.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.25%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a Vicenza win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
