Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 32.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.