Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 46.4%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 27.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.42%). The likeliest Pisa win was 1-0 (8.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lecce in this match.
