Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 58.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Reggina had a probability of 18.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.9%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Reggina win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
