Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Reggina had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.91%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Reggina win was 1-0 (10.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.