Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Monza had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
