Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.42%. A win for Monza had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Monza win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.