Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ternana win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Monza had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ternana win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Monza win was 0-1 (8.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.