Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (7.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.