Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Cagliari.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ternana 2-1 Modena
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Saturday, January 28 at 1pm in Serie B
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Cagliari 2-1 SPAL
Friday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Friday, January 27 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 40.07%. A win for Cagliari had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Cagliari win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Modena would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Modena | Draw | Cagliari |
40.07% ( -0.46) | 26.08% ( 0.01) | 33.84% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
