Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Virtus Entella had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest Virtus Entella win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.