Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alcorcon win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Malaga had a probability of 32.93% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alcorcon win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.44%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Malaga win was 0-1 (12.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.