Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stenhousemuir win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Stranraer had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stenhousemuir win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (5.88%). The likeliest Stranraer win was 1-2 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.