Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Falkirk win with a probability of 57.68%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Annan Athletic had a probability of 19.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Falkirk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.74%), while for an Annan Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Falkirk would win this match.
Result | ||
Falkirk | Draw | Annan Athletic |
57.68% ( -1.53) | 22.63% ( 0.36) | 19.69% ( 1.17) |
Both teams to score 52.39% ( 0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.41% ( 0.16) | 46.59% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.14% ( 0.15) | 68.86% ( -0.15) |
Falkirk Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.12% ( -0.45) | 15.88% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.9% ( -0.84) | 45.1% ( 0.84) |
Annan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.28% ( 1.38) | 37.72% ( -1.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.5% ( 1.32) | 74.5% ( -1.32) |
Score Analysis |
Falkirk | Draw | Annan Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 6.07% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.21) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.67% | 1-1 @ 10.74% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.63% | 0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.27) 0-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Cove Rangers | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 20 |
2 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 20 |
3 | Arbroath | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 18 |
4 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 17 |
5 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 17 |
6 | Kelty Hearts | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 16 |
7 | Montrose | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 16 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 13 |
9 | Dumbarton | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 12 |
10 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | -2 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |