Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 45%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 31.02% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Greenock Morton in this match.
Result | ||
Cove Rangers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
31.02% ( 2.11) | 23.98% ( 0.24) | 45% ( -2.35) |
Both teams to score 59.72% ( 0.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.6% ( 0.06) | 42.4% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.19% ( 0.06) | 64.8% ( -0.06) |
Cove Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.78% ( 1.42) | 26.22% ( -1.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.68% ( 1.87) | 61.32% ( -1.87) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.94% ( -0.93) | 19.06% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.35% ( -1.57) | 50.65% ( 1.56) |
Score Analysis |
Cove Rangers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
2-1 @ 7.42% ( 0.35) 1-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.25) 2-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.34) 3-1 @ 3.31% ( 0.28) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 2% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.35% Total : 31.02% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.98% | 1-2 @ 9.19% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.44) 1-3 @ 5.08% ( -0.27) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.11% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.2) 2-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.3% Total : 45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 37 | 17 | 20 | 42 |
2 | Livingston | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 36 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 34 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 29 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 22 | -5 | 21 |
7 | Greenock MortonMorton | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 21 | -6 | 19 |
8 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 18 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 16 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 18 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 8 | 36 | -28 | 6 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |