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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 33
May 23, 2024 at 7pm UK
Mohammed Bin Saud Al-Qasimi Stadium

Al Raed
0 - 0
Al-Ahli


Al Fahad (63'), Al-Subaie (80')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Raed and Al-Ahli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Wahda 0-1 Al Raed
Thursday, May 16 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Ahli 5-1 Abha
Saturday, May 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Raed 1-2 Al-Ahli

Despite neither side requiring a result on Thursday, Al-Ahli are backed to get the better of their hosts, who have struggled for consistency for nearly the season's entirety. The away side's individual quality and slightly superior momentum give them the edge against bottom-half Al Raed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Al Raed had a probability of 16.79%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for an Al Raed win it was 1-0 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Al RaedDrawAl-Ahli
16.79% (0.263 0.26) 21.23% (0.186 0.19) 61.98% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)
Both teams to score 51.48% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.93% (-0.344 -0.34)45.07% (0.344 0.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.58% (-0.332 -0.33)67.42% (0.331 0.33)
Al Raed Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.85% (0.121 0.12)40.15% (-0.123 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.21% (0.111 0.11)76.79% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)
Al-Ahli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.01% (-0.248 -0.25)13.99% (0.247 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.5% (-0.491 -0.49)41.5% (0.489 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Al Raed 16.79%
    Al-Ahli 61.97%
    Draw 21.23%
Al RaedDrawAl-Ahli
1-0 @ 5.12% (0.092 0.09)
2-1 @ 4.6% (0.057 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.34% (0.05 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 16.79%
1-1 @ 10.08% (0.090999999999999 0.09)
0-0 @ 5.62% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 4.52% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.23%
0-1 @ 11.04% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.86% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-3 @ 7.12% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 6.5% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-4 @ 3.5% (-0.076 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.2% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.97% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.38% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-5 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 61.97%

How you voted: Al Raed vs Al-Ahli

Al Raed
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Al-Ahli
100%
7
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Al-Ahli
0-0
Al Raed
Hamidou (3'), Al-Majhad (90+5')
Sayoud (90+14'), Moreira (90+14'), Fouzair (90+15')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Steelers
19-24
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab11713157822
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al-AhliAl-Ahli11524159617
7Al Khaleej105141212016
8Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood112361215-39
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha11146720-137
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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