Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 50.86%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 22.95%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.08%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.