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Albion Rovers
Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Reigart Stadium
Cowdenbeath

Albion Rovers
3 - 4
Cowdenbeath

Reid (22'), Kennedy (65', 68')
Fernie (52'), Kirkpatrick (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernie (58' og.), Sutherland (64'), Docherty (83' pen.), McLean (88')
McNab (22'), Kerr (86'), Dunsmore (90+4')
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between Albion Rovers and Cowdenbeath.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hibernian U21s 3-3 Albion Rovers (2-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Elgin52.50Dingwall
2East Fife42.00McManus
3Spartans42.00Henderson
4Peterhead31.50Armour
5Stirling21.00Carrick
6Stranraer21.00Dunlop
7Clyde10.50Grant
8Edinburgh10.50Young
9Forfar10.50Mylchreest
10Bonnyrigg Rose00.00
Last Game: Cowdenbeath 4-2 Kilmarnock II
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Elgin52.50Dingwall
2East Fife42.00McManus
3Spartans42.00Henderson
4Peterhead31.50Armour
5Stirling21.00Carrick
6Stranraer21.00Dunlop
7Clyde10.50Grant
8Edinburgh10.50Young
9Forfar10.50Mylchreest
10Bonnyrigg Rose00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Albion Rovers win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 37.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Albion Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-2 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.

Result
Albion RoversDrawCowdenbeath
37.8% (0.017000000000003 0.02) 24.94% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 37.27% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)45.36% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.3% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)67.7% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Albion Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.29% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)23.7% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.17% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)57.83% (0.012 0.01)
Cowdenbeath Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)23.98% (0.029 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)58.23% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Albion Rovers 37.8%
    Cowdenbeath 37.27%
    Draw 24.93%
Albion RoversDrawCowdenbeath
2-1 @ 8.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-0 @ 8.18% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.89% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.04%
3-2 @ 2.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 37.8%
1-1 @ 11.68% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.93%
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.97% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.86% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.42% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 37.27%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cowdenbeath
0-1
Albion Rovers

Todd (53'), Mullen (59'), Ferguson (81')
Reilly (46')
Fagan (70')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Albion Rovers
0-1
Cowdenbeath

Reilly (9'), Wilson (12'), Jack (19'), Leslie (22'), Fagan (64')
Mullen (9' pen.)
Thomson (25'), Buchanan (80')
Miller (84')
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Cowdenbeath
0-0
Albion Rovers
Morrison (35')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Albion Rovers
2-1
Cowdenbeath
Wright (21'), Doherty (82')
Clarke (45+2')
May 4, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 5
Cowdenbeath
2-0
Albion Rovers
Miller (13'), Russell (90+1' pen.)

Aitken (57'), McGowan (62')
McGowan (78')
rhs 2.0
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