Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave |
50.36% ( -0.03) | 26.13% ( -0.1) | 23.52% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 47.07% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.79% ( 0.45) | 56.21% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.74% ( 0.36) | 77.26% ( -0.36) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.61% ( 0.17) | 22.39% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.11% ( 0.26) | 55.89% ( -0.26) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.64% ( 0.37) | 39.36% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.95% ( 0.35) | 76.06% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 13.18% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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