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Premier League | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK
Etihad Stadium
Southampton logo

Man City
1 - 0
Southampton

Haaland (5')
Kovacic (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Downes (42'), Martin (43'), Armstrong (48'), Lallana (56')

The Match

Match Report

Erling Haaland ends his three-game Premier League streak without a goal as Manchester City rise to the top of the table with a 1-0 victory over Southampton.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Southampton.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Manchester City and Southampton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Manchester City could line up for Saturday's Premier League clash with Southampton.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Southampton on Saturday.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Man City 5-0 Sparta Prague
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

Southampton

All competitions
Premier League
Last Game: Southampton 2-3 Leicester
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 77.26%. A draw had a probability of 13.4% and a win for Southampton had a probability of 9.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 2-0 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.82%), while for a Southampton win it was 1-2 (2.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Manchester City would win this match.

Result
Manchester CityDrawSouthampton
77.26% (-0.393 -0.39) 13.44% (0.161 0.16) 9.31% (0.228 0.23)
Both teams to score 58.03% (0.355 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.1% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)25.9% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.91% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)46.09% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.55% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)5.44% (0.071 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.71% (-0.211 -0.21)21.29% (0.207 0.21)
Southampton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (0.42 0.42)38.63% (-0.424 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.63% (0.399 0.4)75.37% (-0.40300000000001 -0.4)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City 77.26%
    Southampton 9.31%
    Draw 13.44%
Manchester CityDrawSouthampton
2-0 @ 8.91% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.64% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
2-1 @ 8.47% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-1 @ 8.22% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 6.29% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-0 @ 6.12% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.98% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.91% (0.046 0.05)
5-0 @ 3.66% (-0.075 -0.08)
5-1 @ 3.48% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-2 @ 2.85% (0.02 0.02)
6-0 @ 1.78% (-0.045 -0.04)
6-1 @ 1.69% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.66% (0.004 0)
4-3 @ 0.9% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 77.26%
1-1 @ 5.82% (0.054 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.03% (0.065 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.1% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 13.44%
1-2 @ 2.77% (0.057 0.06)
0-1 @ 2% (0.027 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.035 0.03)
0-2 @ 0.95% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 9.31%

How you voted: Man City vs Southampton

Manchester City
85.6%
Draw
8.3%
Southampton
6.1%
181
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool15113131131836
2Chelsea16104237191834
3Arsenal1686229151430
4Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest168442119228
5Aston Villa178452626028
6Manchester CityMan City178362925427
7Bournemouth167452421325
8Fulham166642422224
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton166642625124
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1672736191723
11Brentford167273230223
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle166552321223
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd166462119222
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham165472129-819
15Crystal Palace163761721-416
16Everton153661421-715
17Leicester CityLeicester163582134-1314
18Ipswich TownIpswich162681628-1212
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1623112440-169
20Southampton1612131136-255
> Premier League Full Table


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