Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win with a probability of 40.33%. A win for Newcastle United Under-23s had a probability of 35.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.18%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-23s win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolverhampton Wanderers Under-23s would win this match.
