Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 43.1%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 35.44% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 1-0 (4.75%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Middlesbrough Under-21s
43.1% ( 0.08)	21.46% ( 0.01)	35.44% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 71.12% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.77% (

-0.05)

28.23% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.97% (

-0.06)

49.03% (

0.07)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.85% (

0.01)

14.15% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.18% (

0.02)

41.82% (

-0.01)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.85% (

-0.06)

17.15% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.61% (

-0.11)

47.39% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Under-21s 43.1%

Middlesbrough Under-21s 35.44%

Draw 21.46%

Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Middlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 3.73% Total : 43.1%	1-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 7.21% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.46%	1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 35.44%